Atlantic Eyes 2 Tropical Threats Amid El Niño Suppression
Atlantic Eyes 2 Tropical Threats Amid El Niño Suppression
BM · Published Sep 15, 2026
Atlantic tropical activity could increase later this month as forecasters monitor two areas for possible development despite strong El Niño conditions that have suppressed the basin.
The higher-risk area is several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, where development could be possible from Sept.

Why It's Important?

The current state of the Atlantic hurricane season is significant for several reasons, primarily concerning the unusually low level of activity. The presence of strong El Niño conditions typically leads to increased wind shear in the Atlantic, which disrupts storm formation and suppresses tropical activity. However, the potential for development in the coming weeks, despite these El Niño effects, suggests that other atmospheric factors are playing a crucial role. The development of any storms, particularly hurricanes, could have implications for coastal communities in the path of potential systems, necessitating preparedness and awareness. The fact that no hurricanes have formed by mid-September is noteworthy. If the Atlantic remains without a hurricane through September 21st, it would set a record for the latest first hurricane of the season in recorded history, a trend that could have broader implications for understanding long-term climate patterns and their impact on severe weather events. This unusual quietude also affects industries reliant on stable weather, such as shipping and tourism.

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