Below-Average 2026 Hurricane Season Predicted by NOAA
Below-Average 2026 Hurricane Season Predicted by NOAA
US · Published May 21, 2026
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted a below-average hurricane season for 2026 in the Atlantic basin.
The season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, is expected to produce 8 to 14 named storms with winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) or higher.
Of these, 3 to 6 could develop into hurricanes, and 1 to 3 may become major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher, with winds of 111 mph or more).

Why It's Important?

Despite the below-average forecast, experts warn that even a single storm can cause significant damage. Populations in hurricane-prone areas, particularly along the U.S. Gulf Coast and in the Pacific regions like Mexico, Southern California, and Hawaii, remain at risk. Warm ocean temperatures, fueled by climate change, could still lead to intense storms. Additionally, staffing cuts at NOAA and the National Weather Service (NWS) have raised concerns about the nation's preparedness and forecasting capabilities. Reduced satellite and balloon launches may hinder accurate predictions, potentially leaving communities vulnerable to unexpected threats.

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