NOAA Predicts Warmer Fall with Wetter Conditions in Southwest and Southeast
NOAA Predicts Warmer Fall with Wetter Conditions in Southwest and Southeast
US · Published Sep 2, 2026
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its fall 2026 forecast, predicting warmer-than-average temperatures across most of the United States from September through November.
The strongest warming signals are expected in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, with above-average temperatures also likely in the West, Great Plains, Gulf Coast, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic regions.

Impact & Risks

The warmer-than-average temperatures could lead to increased energy demand for cooling across much of the U.S., particularly in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. Wetter conditions in the Southwest and Southeast may result in localized flooding, while drier-than-normal conditions in the Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes regions could exacerbate drought conditions. The strengthening El Niño may also influence weather patterns globally, potentially leading to extreme weather events such as flooding, droughts, and heatwaves.

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