Quiet Atlantic Hurricane Season Amid El Niño Conditions
Quiet Atlantic Hurricane Season Amid El Niño Conditions
Atlantic · Published Sep 24, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is on track to be one of the quietest on record, with minimal tropical development expected in the coming week.
According to WeatherTiger, strong wind shear and tepid water temperatures, driven by a robust El Niño, are suppressing storm activity.

Impact & Risks

The Atlantic's quiet season reduces the risk of hurricane impacts for the U.S., with WeatherTiger estimating only a 15-20% chance of any U.S. hurricane landfall in October or November. However, the Eastern Pacific's heightened activity poses risks to Baja California and Hawaii, with potential for heavy rain, strong winds, and surf impacts. Hurricane Polo's remnants could bring moisture to the U.S. Southern Plains next week.

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