NOAA Predicts Below-Normal Hurricane Activity for 2026
NOAA Predicts Below-Normal Hurricane Activity for 2026
US · Published Sep 1, 2026
• The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has updated its 2026 Hurricane Season Outlook, predicting a 75% chance of below-normal activity in the Atlantic basin.
• This forecast, which spans the season from June 1 to November 30, includes two tropical storms that have already formed.

Impact & Risks

The forecasted below-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin suggests a reduced risk of widespread storm impacts for coastal regions. However, NOAA emphasizes that landfall predictions cannot be made this far in advance, as they depend on short-term weather patterns. Residents in hurricane-prone areas should remain vigilant, as even a below-normal season can produce significant storms. Meanwhile, the above-average activity expected in the Eastern and Central Pacific basins could pose increased risks to coastal communities in those regions, including potential flooding, high winds, and storm surges.

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