The Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have reduced activity due to El Niño, which could limit the number and intensity of storms. However, the Pacific basins are likely to experience heightened activity, posing risks to coastal regions in those areas. In the Gulf of Mexico, storms like Arthur and Bertha have already caused significant disruptions, including record rainfall, tornadoes, and oil and gas production losses. NOAA warns that while the Atlantic season may be quieter, localized impacts from any storms that do form could still be severe. The Pacific's above-average activity increases the likelihood of stronger storms affecting coastal and island communities.