The lack of hurricanes in September has reduced the immediate risk of storm-related damage across the Atlantic basin. However, as October begins, tropical activity often shifts closer to the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, where systems can develop from the Central American Gyre. This broad area of low pressure can bring heavy rainfall, rough surf, and mudslides to affected regions. Historically, no tropical systems have formed in the Gulf or Caribbean during October in Super El Niño years dating back to 1960, which may further limit risks this season.