The strong El Niño is reducing the likelihood of significant hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin. The probability of at least one U.S. hurricane landfall this season is estimated at 70%, but the chance of a major hurricane strike is only 20%. Coastal areas from Texas to Maine should remain vigilant, as localized systems could still develop and pose risks. However, the overall threat level is significantly lower than in previous years, such as 2024, which saw multiple major hurricanes (WeatherTiger, 2026).