Tamil Nadu to Witness Normal Northeast Monsoon Despite El Nino
Tamil Nadu to Witness Normal Northeast Monsoon Despite El Nino
IN · Published Oct 2, 2026
• Tamil Nadu is expected to experience a normal northeast monsoon this year, as the impact of El Nino is predicted to be minimal, according to IMD Director General of Meteorology M Mohapatra. Speaking at the Northeast Monsoon Seasonal Outlook Forum 2026 held at the National Institute of Ocean Technology (NIOT), Mohapatra stated that the monsoon is likely to set in between October 15 and
• The seasonal outlook indicates normal rainfall across south peninsular India, including Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Kerala, and south interior Karnataka, during the October to December period. While rainfall distribution may vary, southern Tamil Nadu and parts of northern Tamil Nadu are expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall in October.

Impact & Risks

The forecast suggests that Tamil Nadu and other regions in south peninsular India will receive adequate rainfall, which is crucial for agriculture and water resources. However, some areas may experience below-normal rainfall, potentially affecting local farming activities. The decline in El Nino's influence after December is expected to reduce risks associated with prolonged dry conditions. The IMD's improved forecast accuracy, now at 2.2%, enhances confidence in these predictions.

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