NOAA Predicts Warmer Winter for Upper Midwest Amid Strong El Niño
NOAA Predicts Warmer Winter for Upper Midwest Amid Strong El Niño
US · Published Sep 15, 2026
• The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its latest temperature outlook for the winter of 2026-2027, highlighting the potential impacts of a strong El Niño event.
• According to the Climate Prediction Center's September 10 outlook, there is a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere's fall and winter seasons.

Impact & Risks

The anticipated strong El Niño could lead to significant deviations from typical winter weather patterns across the United States. In the upper Midwest, warmer and drier conditions may reduce the likelihood of heavy snowfall, potentially impacting winter sports and water resource replenishment. Conversely, the southern U.S. may experience cooler and wetter conditions, which could lead to localized flooding or other weather-related challenges. The Farmer's Almanac warns of possible cold snaps and frequent snowstorms in the Great Lakes region, which could disrupt travel and daily activities. Residents should prepare for variable conditions depending on their location.

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