Iowa Winter 2026-27: Milder Temperatures Expected Amid Strong El Niño
Iowa Winter 2026-27: Milder Temperatures Expected Amid Strong El Niño
US · Published Nov 12, 2026
• The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has forecasted a strong to very strong El Niño event for the 2026-27 winter season, with a greater than 83% chance of lasting through January to March
• This could result in milder-than-average temperatures across Iowa and the Midwest. However, snowfall predictions remain uncertain, as they depend on the alignment of cold and moisture during specific weather events. Historical data shows that Des Moines typically experiences its first snow in mid-November, with average snowfall of 9 inches in December and 10 inches in January.

Impact & Risks

The strong El Niño could lead to warmer-than-average temperatures in Iowa and the Midwest, potentially reducing the frequency and intensity of snowstorms. However, the unpredictability of snowfall means that significant snow events could still occur if conditions align. Residents should be prepared for variable winter weather, including potential disruptions to travel and daily activities.

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