The primary risks include flash flooding, particularly in areas with burn scars, such as the Frijoles area. Urban flooding and rapidly filling arroyos are also concerns. Heavy rain in Ruidoso earlier in the day caused 1 to 2 inches of rainfall within one to two hours, demonstrating the potential for quick and dangerous water level rises. Storms moving at 20 to 25 mph may mitigate prolonged impacts in one location, but repeated storms over the same areas could exacerbate flooding risks.