El Nino Expected to Reduce U.S. Drought Coverage by Spring 2026
El Nino Expected to Reduce U.S. Drought Coverage by Spring 2026
US · Published Aug 31, 2026
Building El Nino conditions are projected to significantly reduce drought coverage across the United States by April 2026, according to Eric Snodgrass of Nutrien Ag Solutions.
Currently, approximately 75% of the country is experiencing some level of drought, but this could drop to 30% or less if El Nino follows historical patterns.

Impact & Risks

The anticipated El Nino could alleviate drought conditions, benefiting agriculture and water resources, particularly in the western U.S. However, the Midwest heatwave poses risks of heat-related illnesses, and the recent flooding in Arizona and Utah has already resulted in evacuations, fatalities, and missing persons. Lake Powell remains critically low, threatening hydropower generation. Additionally, wetter conditions during the fall harvest season may compress the harvest window, potentially impacting crop yields.

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