Strengthening El Niño to Bring Wetter Winter to Texas
Strengthening El Niño to Bring Wetter Winter to Texas
US · Published Nov 13, 2026
• The NOAA Climate Prediction Center has confirmed that the current El Niño is strengthening, with a strong-to-very strong event expected to persist through January–March
• This weather pattern is likely to bring a wetter-than-normal winter to Texas and the southern United States. The subtropical jet stream is expected to become more active, steering Pacific storm systems across California, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, and the Gulf Coast. The increased precipitation could lead to prolonged wet periods and heightened flood risks, particularly in areas like the San Jacinto River Basin.

Impact & Risks

The strengthening El Niño is expected to result in more frequent and intense rainstorms across Texas and the southern U.S. This could lead to prolonged wet periods, increased runoff, and elevated river levels, particularly in the San Jacinto River Basin. The risk of flooding is heightened, especially in areas with already saturated soils. While the pattern may reduce the likelihood of extreme Arctic outbreaks, it could still lead to significant disruptions due to heavy rainfall and potential flooding.

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