El Niño 2026-2027 poses severe risks for India and South Asia
El Niño 2026-2027 poses severe risks for India and South Asia
IN · Published Oct 23, 2026
• The ongoing El Niño event, forecasted to strengthen through early 2027, is expected to bring prolonged heat, drought, and delayed monsoon conditions across South Asia, including India.
• This natural climate phenomenon, caused by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific, is shifting global rainfall and temperature patterns.

Impact & Risks

India and neighbouring South Asian countries face significant risks to food production, water access, and livelihoods due to prolonged heat and delayed monsoons. Vulnerable communities, particularly those already experiencing poverty or displacement, are at heightened risk of food insecurity, malnutrition, and water scarcity. Children are especially vulnerable, with potential disruptions to education, health, and safety. The agricultural sector may suffer severe losses, affecting staple crops and increasing food prices.

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