El Niño Predicted to Be Strongest on Record, Potential Impact on Indian Monsoon
El Niño Predicted to Be Strongest on Record, Potential Impact on Indian Monsoon
IN · Published Sep 13, 2026
The upcoming winter's El Niño event is anticipated to be one of the strongest on record, according to the source.
El Niño is characterised by the periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, driven by weakening trade winds.

Impact & Risks

India could face disruptions in its monsoon patterns due to the strong El Niño event. Historically, El Niño has been linked to reduced rainfall during the southwest monsoon season, which could impact agriculture and water resources across the country. This may lead to lower crop yields, water shortages, and heightened risks of heatwaves. Vulnerable populations, particularly farmers, may face economic challenges due to potential drought conditions.

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