India Faces Agricultural Challenges Amid Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast for 2026
India Faces Agricultural Challenges Amid Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast for 2026
IN · Published Jun 12, 2026
India's agricultural sector is grappling with significant challenges due to climate change and a forecast of below-normal rainfall for 2026, estimated at 90% of the long-period average. According to the Centre for Science and Environment, the number of days with extreme weather events rose to 331 in 2025, up from 295 in
Rainfed areas, which account for half of India's cultivated land, are particularly vulnerable to these changes. Despite these challenges, the government has increased the minimum support price (MSP) for paddy by 3% for the kharif 2026 season, though this increase is lower than that for pulses and oilseeds. Efforts to promote sustainable agriculture, such as releasing 2,661 crop varieties tolerant to biotic and abiotic stresses between 2014 and 2025, are ongoing. However, experts emphasize the need for enhanced agricultural R&D, better resource conservation policies, and advanced weather forecasting systems to build resilience in the sector.

Why It's Important?

The forecasted below-normal rainfall and increasing extreme weather events pose significant risks to India's agricultural output and farm incomes. Rainfed areas, which rely heavily on consistent rainfall, are particularly at risk. The continued focus on resource-intensive crops like rice and sugarcane exacerbates the depletion of natural resources, while stagnant yields of less water-intensive crops like pulses and oilseeds discourage diversification. Without significant policy shifts and technological advancements, farmers may face reduced yields, financial instability, and long-term resource exhaustion. Additionally, unpredictable weather patterns could further strain the agricultural supply chain and food security.

Related News