India's Emissions Growth Slows Amid Favourable Weather and Renewable Energy Expansion
India's Emissions Growth Slows Amid Favourable Weather and Renewable Energy Expansion
IN · Published Nov 2, 2026
• India's greenhouse gas emissions growth slowed significantly in 2025, as reported in the UNEP Emissions Gap Report
• Renewable electricity generation increased by 98 terawatt-hours (TWh), nearly double the rise in electricity demand, while coal-fired generation declined by 44 TWh. Favourable weather conditions, including a milder summer and above-average monsoon rainfall, contributed to reduced electricity demand for cooling and supported hydropower generation. India’s average temperature in 2025 was 0.28°C above the 1991–2020 average, compared to 0.65°C in 2024, the warmest year on record. Despite these positive trends, India remains the world's third-largest greenhouse gas emitter, with emissions reaching approximately 4.5 billion tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 2025.

Impact & Risks

The slowdown in emissions growth is a positive development, but it is not guaranteed to continue. While renewable energy is beginning to displace coal, India’s electricity system still heavily relies on coal, particularly during periods of low solar and wind output. Industrial emissions from sectors like steel and cement continue to grow, offsetting some of the reductions achieved in the electricity sector. Additionally, favourable weather conditions that reduced cooling demand in 2025 may not recur, posing a risk to sustained emissions reductions. Long-term structural changes in energy storage, transmission, and industrial decarbonisation are essential to maintain progress.

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