WMO Predicts Near-100% Probability of El Niño Through February 2027
WMO Predicts Near-100% Probability of El Niño Through February 2027
IN · Published Sep 4, 2026
The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has forecast a near-100% likelihood of El Niño persisting through February
El Niño, a natural climate phenomenon in the Central and Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean, is known to disrupt global weather patterns, including weaker monsoons and higher temperatures in India. This marks the first time WMO's assessments have reached unanimous agreement among experts. Additionally, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to develop, potentially mitigating some negative impacts of El Niño. Nations have been advised to enhance preparedness and early-warning systems to address the anticipated disruptions.

Impact & Risks

El Niño's intensification is expected to cause significant disruptions globally, including droughts and floods. In India, weaker monsoons and higher temperatures could adversely affect agriculture, water resources, and energy demands. However, the positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole may provide some relief by counteracting El Niño's effects. Vulnerable communities and economies are likely to face challenges, with heightened risks to food security and infrastructure.

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