India records 13% monsoon deficit, lowest in 11 years
India records 13% monsoon deficit, lowest in 11 years
India · Published Oct 6, 2026
• India's southwest monsoon for 2026 concluded with a 13% rainfall deficit, marking the lowest monsoon rainfall since 2015 and the fourth-lowest since 1901, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The cumulative rainfall was 759.4 mm, significantly below the Long Period Average (LPA) of 868.6 mm. Regional disparities were stark, with East and Northeast India receiving 1,016.3 mm, the lowest since 1901, and the southern peninsula recording 542 mm, the second-lowest since
• Central and northwest India fared slightly better, with deficits of 3% and 6%, respectively. The uneven rainfall distribution has raised concerns over kharif crop yields, rabi sowing, and food inflation.

Impact & Risks

The monsoon deficit has adversely affected key agricultural regions, particularly in Karnataka, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Rajasthan. Reservoir storage levels in southern states are significantly below average, threatening irrigation for rabi crops like rice, wheat, and pulses. The uneven rainfall has also led to crop stress, with kharif sowing down by 1.2% compared to last year. This could exacerbate food inflation, especially for pulses and oilseeds, and weaken rural incomes, potentially dampening rural demand in the second half of FY27.

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