Super El Niño Likely to Disrupt Indian Monsoon and Global Weather Patterns
• The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has reported a 90% likelihood of a super El Niño event occurring during the autumn-winter of
• El Niño, a phenomenon characterised by the abnormal warming of surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, is part of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. This warming alters atmospheric pressure and weather patterns globally. The Indian subcontinent is already experiencing the effects, with August 2026 showing abnormally low monsoon rainfall. The warming effect of this El Niño is compounded by human-induced climate change, potentially making 2027 one of the hottest years on record, with global temperatures expected to rise over 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Source time: 14 September 2026.
Impact & Risks
The super El Niño is expected to severely impact the Indian subcontinent by disrupting the monsoon season, which is critical for agriculture and water resources. Prolonged droughts are likely in parts of South Asia, Africa, and Australia, while wetter and stormier conditions are anticipated in Western Europe. The global rise in temperatures could exacerbate food insecurity and water scarcity, with cascading effects on energy production and economic stability. The Indian monsoon's failure could lead to significant agricultural losses, affecting millions dependent on farming for their livelihoods.
Related News