India Faces Decline in Rice Production Amid Weak Monsoon
India Faces Decline in Rice Production Amid Weak Monsoon
India · Published Nov 10, 2026
• India is experiencing its weakest monsoon in over a decade, attributed to the El Niño weather phenomenon.
• This has significantly impacted the country's rice production, which is expected to decline for the first time in ten years.

Impact & Risks

The decline in rice production in India could have significant implications for food security and export markets, as the country is one of the world's largest rice producers. Reduced monsoon rainfall, exacerbated by El Niño, has led to drier conditions, which are detrimental to crop growth. This situation may lead to increased rice prices domestically and globally, potentially affecting consumers and economies reliant on rice imports. Other Asian countries, such as Thailand, are also facing similar risks, with drought and flooding disrupting agricultural activities and transportation.

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