India records 13% monsoon deficit, raising concerns for rabi crops
India records 13% monsoon deficit, raising concerns for rabi crops
IN · Published Oct 1, 2026
• India concluded the 2026 southwest monsoon season with a 13% rainfall deficit, marking it as the fourth weakest monsoon since 2001, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
• The season, which spanned from June 1 to September 30, saw rainfall at 87% of the Long Period Average (LPA), with a total of 759.4 mm.

Impact & Risks

The monsoon deficit has raised concerns for the upcoming rabi sowing season, particularly in rain-fed regions where lower soil moisture and reduced reservoir levels may impact crop planting. Kharif sowing was down 1.2% year-on-year as of September 25, with rice acreage declining by 3.6%. Reservoir storage in 150 major reservoirs stood at 71% of total capacity, below last year’s levels. Experts warn that persistent El Niño conditions could lead to warmer winters and reduced rainfall, potentially affecting winter crops. Eastern and northeastern India, along with South Peninsular India, were among the worst-hit regions, with Punjab, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya experiencing significant rainfall deficits.

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