El Nino Reduces Monsoon Rainfall, Threatens India's Biofuel Goals
El Nino Reduces Monsoon Rainfall, Threatens India's Biofuel Goals
India · Published Nov 7, 2026
• India's biofuel ambitions face a significant challenge as a severe El Nino event has reduced monsoon rainfall by nearly 13% from normal levels, according to the Taipei Times.
• This has led to crop shortages, with prices of key ethanol feedstocks such as corn and sugar increasing by approximately 40%, and rice prices rising by 20%.

Impact & Risks

The reduced monsoon rainfall and subsequent crop shortages are impacting farmers across drought-hit states, who are struggling with insufficient water for winter crops like corn. This is likely to result in a 15% drop in corn production from this year's record of 55 million metric tonnes. The ethanol industry, which had expanded capacity in anticipation of higher demand, now faces overcapacity and reduced margins due to lower blending rates and government-imposed price cuts. Additionally, food inflation is becoming a politically sensitive issue, with several states, including Uttar Pradesh, set to hold assembly elections next year.

Related News