Below-normal monsoon rainfall could have significant implications for agriculture, water resources, and overall economic activities in India, which heavily depend on monsoon precipitation. The development of El Niño conditions during the season may exacerbate the risk of droughts in parts of Asia, including India, while potentially causing wetter conditions in other regions like the United States. Farmers and policymakers may need to prepare for reduced water availability and potential crop yield impacts. The transition to positive Indian Ocean Dipole conditions later in the season could influence rainfall distribution, but its effects remain uncertain.