The intensifying El Niño is expected to exacerbate extreme weather events globally, including severe droughts, floods, and wildfires. Key agricultural regions, such as Southeast Asia and South America, are already experiencing reduced crop yields and supply chain disruptions. Forest fires in Indonesia, fueled by El Niño, have significantly impacted palm oil production, causing a 24% price increase since the start of 2026. The Middle East is facing fertilizer shortages due to a blockade in the Hormuz Strait, which could lead to lower crop yields and tighter food supplies into 2027. Additionally, disruptions in the Black Sea region, caused by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have driven global wheat prices up by 15% year-over-year, further straining food security.