The moisture deficit and high temperatures are expected to severely impact rainfed farming areas, which lack irrigation infrastructure. Crops such as pulses and coarse cereals, which rely heavily on residual soil moisture, are particularly vulnerable. States like Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Rajasthan, which are major producers of gram, jowar, and mustard, could face reduced sowing areas and lower yields. Farmers in these regions may need to delay planting or switch to less water-intensive crops. The overall foodgrain output, which heavily depends on the rabi season, is at risk, potentially affecting food security and market prices. Irrigated crops like wheat are less exposed but may still face challenges if water availability continues to decline.