Super El Niño may intensify India's uneven monsoon impacts
Super El Niño may intensify India's uneven monsoon impacts
IN · Published Sep 2, 2026
India's summer monsoon in 2026 has been marked by a paradoxical pattern: overall rainfall has been below average, yet severe floods and landslides have occurred in several regions.
By early August, cumulative rainfall across the country was 12% below normal, but intense spells of rain have caused significant damage, particularly in Kerala.

Impact & Risks

The uneven monsoon has led to severe flooding and landslides, particularly in Kerala, where 26 people have died in monsoon-related incidents as of August 5. The risks include loss of life, destruction of homes, and disruption of livelihoods, especially in flood-prone areas. El Niño conditions may exacerbate these impacts by intensifying extreme rainfall events, even as overall seasonal rainfall remains below average. Vulnerable regions like central-eastern India and the southwest coast are at heightened risk of extreme weather events.

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