The rainfall deficit poses significant risks to Kerala's agriculture and water availability. Farmers may face challenges in irrigation and crop yields, particularly if the deficit persists through September. The shortfall could also strain water resources, impacting both rural and urban areas. Historically, similar deficits have led to economic and environmental stress in the state. The situation is compounded by the broader national monsoon deficit of 13%, with other states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh also experiencing severe shortfalls.