NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast on May 21
NOAA to Release 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast on May 21
US · Published May 21, 2026
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is set to release its official forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, May 21, at 11 a.m.
ET during a news conference at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center in Lakeland, Florida.
This forecast will provide insights into the expected activity for the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, as well as for the central and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons.

Why It's Important?

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season could still pose significant risks, even if activity is below average. Experts caution that fewer storms do not necessarily mean less danger, as even a single hurricane can cause catastrophic damage. Coastal regions and areas prone to hurricanes should remain vigilant and prepared. Factors such as warm sea-surface temperatures and the progression of El Niño will play a critical role in shaping the season. El Niño is expected to enhance wind shear in the Atlantic, potentially reducing storm formation, but warmer ocean temperatures could counteract this effect, leading to uncertainty in the forecast.

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