97% Chance of 'Super' El Niño Predicted by NOAA
97% Chance of 'Super' El Niño Predicted by NOAA
US · Published Jul 13, 2026
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted a 97% likelihood of a 'strong' or 'very strong' El Niño event persisting through December
This climate pattern, characterized by warmer waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, is expected to intensify global heat waves and extreme weather events. California, historically impacted by El Niño, could experience significant rainfall, flash floods, and landslides, particularly in Southern California. The phenomenon is also linked to global temperature increases, exacerbated by human-induced climate change. NOAA officials emphasize that this El Niño could lead to record-breaking global temperatures in the coming months. (Source time: 2026-07-13 10:00:00 GMT)

Impact & Risks

The anticipated 'super' El Niño poses risks of severe weather globally. Southern California may face above-average rainfall, increasing the likelihood of flash floods and landslides. Coastal regions could experience high-tide flooding and coastal erosion, as seen during past strong El Niño events. Globally, the pattern may bring drought to Australia and northern South America, while increasing rainfall in eastern Africa. Marine ecosystems are also at risk due to prolonged marine heatwaves. These impacts are compounded by ongoing global warming, which could amplify the severity of heat waves and extreme weather.

Related News