Reduced cyclone activity may lower the risk of widespread damage in the South-West Indian Ocean region. However, isolated cyclonic events could still pose significant threats, especially to island communities. Variations in rainfall could impact agriculture and water resources, with above-normal rainfall potentially causing flooding in northern Madagascar, Comoros, and Tanzania, while below-normal rainfall in southern Madagascar and Mozambique may lead to drought conditions. Disaster management agencies are advised to remain vigilant despite the quieter season.