El Niño to impact U.S. drought conditions this fall
El Niño to impact U.S. drought conditions this fall
US · Published Sep 16, 2026
As El Niño strengthens to a 'super' status this fall, significant changes in drought conditions are expected across the United States.
Wetter-than-average conditions are forecasted for the Rockies and Southeast from September through November 2026, while drier-than-average conditions are anticipated in the northern tier of the country.

Impact & Risks

The drought outlook indicates worsening conditions for the Mid-South and parts of the northern U.S., including the Northern Plains and areas from Washington to Maine. This could lead to water shortages, agricultural stress, and increased wildfire risks in affected regions. Conversely, the Rockies and Southeast are expected to see drought relief, which may benefit water resources and agriculture. Residents in drought-prone areas should prepare for potential impacts, including limited water availability and heightened fire danger.

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