El Niño Heat Could Cause 450,000 Deaths by February
El Niño Heat Could Cause 450,000 Deaths by February
NG · Published Sep 23, 2026
• A record-breaking El Niño event is driving global temperatures higher, with researchers warning of significant health impacts.
• According to a report by the Climate Impact Lab at the University of Chicago, an estimated 450,000 additional deaths could occur worldwide by February 2027 due to heat-related causes.

Impact & Risks

The report highlights that the southern hemisphere, including regions like Africa, Indonesia, and Brazil, will experience the most immediate impacts, with Nigeria alone potentially seeing over 30,000 additional deaths in the next six months. India and Pakistan are also expected to face severe consequences. Vulnerable groups, such as the elderly and infants, are particularly at risk. Beyond heat-related deaths, El Niño could exacerbate other hazards, including wildfires, infectious diseases, and flooding, further increasing the potential death toll.

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