India's Monsoon Ends in Deficit, Straining Kharif Crops
India's Monsoon Ends in Deficit, Straining Kharif Crops
IN · Published Sep 19, 2026
India's southwest monsoon for 2026 is concluding with a nationwide rainfall deficit of 14% as of 7 September, marking one of the sharpest shortfalls in recent years.
The monsoon withdrawal began in western Rajasthan around 19 September, with the southern peninsula experiencing the most severe deficit at 27% below normal rainfall.

Impact & Risks

The rainfall deficit has caused stress on rainfed crops, particularly pulses, coarse cereals, and oilseeds, which are more vulnerable to below-normal monsoon seasons compared to irrigated crops like paddy and sugarcane. Farmers in severely affected districts, such as those in Maharashtra and Haryana, have had to increase irrigation spending, leading to higher costs. The uneven monsoon is expected to result in patchy crop damage, complicating relief measures. Economists warn of potential food price inflation, particularly for staples and pulses, which could impact retail prices and government procurement strategies. Additionally, the weak harvest may affect India's position as a major exporter of rice, sugar, and cotton, tightening global supply margins.

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