El Niño disrupts global weather and food supplies
El Niño disrupts global weather and food supplies
ZA · Published Sep 16, 2026
The strengthening El Niño phenomenon is causing widespread disruptions in global weather patterns, food supplies, and trade.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a 90% chance that the current El Niño will become a 'Very Strong' event during the Northern Hemisphere's autumn and winter of 2026-2027, with a 75% probability of reaching historic strength.

Impact & Risks

El Niño's effects are being felt globally. In Southern Africa, below-normal rainfall threatens maize production and regional cereal supplies, while the Greater Horn of Africa faces potential floods and crop losses due to heavy rainfall. The Atlantic hurricane season has seen an unprecedented lull, attributed to El Niño's increased wind shear. Meanwhile, Europe has experienced extreme heat and water shortages, disrupting critical infrastructure like the Danube River. These disruptions highlight the far-reaching economic and environmental risks posed by a strong El Niño.

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