El Niño and Western Disturbances Impact Southwest Monsoon in India
El Niño and Western Disturbances Impact Southwest Monsoon in India
IN · Published Sep 14, 2026
The interaction between El Niño and localised Western Disturbances (WDs) is influencing the spatial distribution and stalling of the Southwest Monsoon in India.
El Niño weakens the monsoon circulation, often delaying onset, reducing seasonal rainfall, and increasing breaks.

Impact & Risks

El Niño's weakening of the monsoon circulation can result in drought-like conditions in affected regions, particularly in North and South India. The stalling effect of WDs may prolong dry spells in central and peninsular India, while north-western regions could experience short-lived but heavy rainfall. This uneven distribution poses challenges for agriculture and water resource management, especially in states reliant on consistent monsoon rains.

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