Super El Niño Expected to Intensify Through Winter 2026-27
Super El Niño Expected to Intensify Through Winter 2026-27
US · Published Jun 24, 2026
NOAA has confirmed the formation of a super El Niño in the tropical Pacific, with forecasters predicting it will strengthen through the winter of 2026-
There is a 63% chance that this event will reach the 'very strong' threshold, making it one of the most significant El Niño events since

Impact & Risks

The intensifying El Niño poses significant risks, including severe droughts, flooding, and wildfires, particularly in vulnerable regions. In the Pacific, a more active hurricane season is anticipated. These extreme weather events could disrupt agriculture, fisheries, and infrastructure, disproportionately affecting the most vulnerable populations. The interruption of critical ocean monitoring systems could degrade forecasting accuracy, increasing the likelihood of unanticipated disasters. Historical parallels, such as the 1877 'Great Famine,' underscore the potential for widespread humanitarian and economic impacts if preparedness is compromised.

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