Super El Niño Expected to Bring Wetter and Warmer Winter Across the U.S.
Super El Niño Expected to Bring Wetter and Warmer Winter Across the U.S.
US · Published Sep 13, 2026
A potentially historic El Niño event is forecasted to strengthen through the end of 2026, with a 90% likelihood of becoming a very strong event during the fall and winter months, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) [Newsweek, 13 Sep 2026].
El Niño, the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is known to influence global weather patterns, including increased storm activity in the southern U.S.

Impact & Risks

The strengthening El Niño could lead to significant weather impacts across the United States. Central and Northern California may experience heavy rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding, while the Sierras could see substantial snowfall. The Gulf Coast, Southeast, and mid-Atlantic regions are expected to face wet and stormy conditions, including severe thunderstorms. Meanwhile, the northern tier of the U.S. may experience less snow and fewer cold air masses, which could impact winter sports and water resources. The Northeast and Midwest are likely to see milder-than-average winter temperatures, which could affect energy demand and agricultural cycles.

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