Record-Early Polar Vortex Weakening May Chill U.S. by Thanksgiving
Record-Early Polar Vortex Weakening May Chill U.S. by Thanksgiving
US · Published Nov 13, 2026
• A record-early weakening of the polar vortex, caused by a major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event, could lead to colder weather across parts of the United States by Thanksgiving week, potentially lasting into early December. The polar vortex, a swirling cone of low pressure high in the stratosphere, was disrupted in early November 2026, marking the earliest such event since records began in
• This disruption, combined with a strong El Niño, may influence the jet stream and bring cooler air southward. However, conflicting factors, such as relatively warm Arctic conditions and low snow cover in North America, could limit the extent and duration of the cold spell. The situation remains uncertain, with meteorologists closely monitoring developments. (Source time: 2026-11-12 18:00 GMT)

Impact & Risks

The weakened polar vortex could lead to a colder weather pattern in parts of the northern U.S. starting Thanksgiving week, with the potential for the chill to persist into early December. However, the impact may be moderated by warmer-than-usual conditions in the Arctic and low snow cover across North America. While colder temperatures are possible, the influence of a strong El Niño could counteract the cooling trend later in December. Residents in affected areas should prepare for a temporary drop in temperatures and potential disruptions to outdoor activities.

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