Super El Niño to bring mild winter to Midwest
Super El Niño to bring mild winter to Midwest
US · Published Sep 16, 2026
A 'super' El Niño, potentially the strongest since 1950, is expected to influence weather patterns across the central U.S.
this fall and winter.

Impact & Risks

The Midwest's warmer winter could disrupt snow-dependent activities like skiing and snowmobiling, while also posing challenges for agriculture, such as early flowering of fruit trees and increased pest activity. In the southern U.S., wetter conditions may lead to more thunderstorms and atmospheric instability. For drought-affected regions like Oklahoma and Texas, the anticipated rainfall could improve soil moisture and benefit winter wheat crops. However, the variability of El Niño means these impacts are not guaranteed, and localized weather events will still depend on other atmospheric conditions.

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