El Niño 2026: Increased Flood Risks Across Southern US
El Niño 2026: Increased Flood Risks Across Southern US
US · Published Oct 6, 2026
• The 2026 El Niño is shaping up to be one of the strongest on record, with NOAA predicting a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event this fall and winter.
• The southern United States, from California to the Carolinas, is expected to experience wetter-than-average conditions.

Impact & Risks

The increased rainfall associated with El Niño raises the risk of flash flooding, particularly in areas with poor drainage or saturated ground. The Gulf Coast, Southeast, and southern Plains are most vulnerable, with urban drainage flooding and coastal storms posing additional threats. Even regions outside high-risk flood zones are not immune, as nearly 30% of flood claims in the past decade have come from such areas. Residents should prepare for potential disruptions and property damage.

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