NOAA Predicts Potentially Historic El Niño for Fall and Winter
NOAA Predicts Potentially Historic El Niño for Fall and Winter
US · Published Sep 14, 2026
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted a potentially historic El Niño event for the fall and winter of 2026-
El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon characterized by warmer-than-average Pacific Ocean temperatures, which can significantly alter global weather patterns. NOAA reports a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño developing, with a 69% likelihood of surpassing all recorded events since

Impact & Risks

The anticipated El Niño could bring widespread impacts, including heavy rainfall and flooding, particularly in regions prone to these conditions. Property damage, road closures, power outages, and disruptions to daily life are possible. Spring and summer risks may also increase, with wetter winters potentially fueling vegetation growth that could later dry out and heighten wildfire risks. Farmers Insurance warns that flood damage is not covered under standard policies, urging homeowners and businesses to assess their flood risk and explore insurance options. Communities should prepare for evolving risks beyond the fall and winter seasons.

Related News