16 States Predicted to Have a White Christmas, Says Old Farmer's Almanac
16 States Predicted to Have a White Christmas, Says Old Farmer's Almanac
US · Published Nov 5, 2026
• The Old Farmer's Almanac has released its winter forecast, predicting a white Christmas for 16 U.S. states. Based on 1991-2020 climate data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), northern states such as Washington, Maine, and Alaska have the highest probability of seeing more than an inch of snow on the ground on December
• The Almanac's predictions, which claim an 80% accuracy rate, are derived from a mix of solar science, climatology, and meteorology. However, researchers from Illinois suggest the accuracy may be closer to 50%. The forecast also aligns with the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center's outlook, which anticipates above-normal to near-normal temperatures across most of the U.S. this winter.

Impact & Risks

The forecast suggests that residents in the Northeast, Appalachians, and parts of the West and Alaska may experience snowier conditions this winter, potentially leading to travel disruptions and increased heating costs. Conversely, warmer temperatures driven by climate change and a historic El Niño pattern could limit precipitation in northern states, reducing the likelihood of a white Christmas in some areas. The polar vortex's behavior remains a wildcard, as it could shift weather patterns and bring colder air into the U.S.

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