Delayed Monsoon Withdrawal May Impact Food Inflation in India
Delayed Monsoon Withdrawal May Impact Food Inflation in India
IN · Published Sep 17, 2026
The withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon from West Rajasthan is expected to begin around 19th September 2026, slightly later than the usual date of 17th September.
Rainfall during the monsoon season (June 1 to September 13) was 14.7% below the Long Period Average (LPA), with significant deficits in the South Peninsula (-28%) and East & Northeast India (-25%).

Impact & Risks

The uneven and below-average rainfall has heightened risks to crop output, potentially affecting food supply and prices. This could lead to increased food inflation, which carries broader economic implications, including pressure on rural incomes, consumption, and agricultural activity. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may also face challenges in managing inflation due to the significant weight of food prices in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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