According to a Colorado State University forecast, the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is projected to be slightly below average, with an anticipated 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This is fewer than the long-term average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. The primary factor influencing this forecast is the expected arrival of El Niño, a climate pattern known for increasing wind shear in the Atlantic basin, thereby disrupting the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones.