Below-Average Hurricane Season Forecast for Atlantic in 2026
Below-Average Hurricane Season Forecast for Atlantic in 2026
US · Published Apr 10, 2026
Colorado State University predicts a near- or below-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2026, with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes expected.
The reduced hurricane activity is attributed to a developing El Niño, which increases wind shear and subsidence over the Atlantic.
Despite the below-average forecast, experts stress that even one hurricane can be devastating, urging coastal residents to stay prepared.
Near- or below-average hurricane season anticipated
Colorado State University's researchers have released their initial forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, anticipating a near- or below-average season. The forecast includes predictions of approximately 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes, which is slightly less than the long-term seasonal average. This reduction in activity is primarily attributed to the expected development of an El Niño, a climate pattern known to suppress hurricane formation in the Atlantic due to increased vertical wind shear and atmospheric subsidence.
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