El Niño-driven heat could cause nearly half a million deaths globally, warns report
El Niño-driven heat could cause nearly half a million deaths globally, warns report
IN · Published Sep 24, 2026
A report by the Climate Impact Lab, based at the University of Chicago, warns that the ongoing El Niño event, combined with record global heat, could lead to approximately 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide between June 2026 and February
The phenomenon is driving severe droughts, wildfires, and water shortages, with the most significant impacts expected in poorer countries already grappling with food insecurity and high energy costs. The study highlights that regions with already high temperatures and limited resources are particularly vulnerable to the effects of this extreme weather event. The report also notes that the heat danger may persist beyond February, even though the El Niño is expected to end by then. Source time: Wed, 23 Sep 2026 08:21:38 GMT.

Impact & Risks

The report identifies poorer nations, particularly in the Global South, as the most affected by El Niño-driven heat. Countries in Africa's Sahel region are projected to experience the highest toll, with approximately 66,800 additional deaths. India is also expected to see significant impacts, with 15,800 heat-related fatalities. Vulnerable populations in these regions face heightened risks due to limited access to cooling systems, reliable water supplies, and healthcare infrastructure. The cumulative exposure to elevated temperatures poses severe health risks, especially in areas already experiencing high temperatures and economic challenges.

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