The monsoon deficit threatens soil moisture, groundwater recharge, and reservoir levels, which are critical for both kharif and rabi crops. Farmers may face reduced yields and increased costs due to higher fertiliser prices caused by disruptions in global supply chains, particularly from the Gulf region. Vulnerable households could struggle with rising food prices and reduced access to nutritious diets, exacerbating food insecurity. Regional disparities in agricultural output and reliance on inter-state food supplies may further amplify the impact in states like Kerala and Tamil Nadu.