Super El Niño Could Lead to Severe Heat Impacts Globally, Including India
Super El Niño Could Lead to Severe Heat Impacts Globally, Including India
India · Published Sep 23, 2026
• A new report from the Climate Impact Lab warns that the ongoing super-sized El Niño could result in devastating heat impacts globally, with nearly 451,000 heat-related deaths projected by February
• This natural climate phenomenon, which amplifies global temperatures, is expected to push land temperatures 1.2°C (2.1°F) above normal in the coming months. The report highlights that this El Niño event is exacerbated by existing global warming caused by fossil fuel emissions. The study, which is awaiting peer review, predicts a 44% increase in extreme heat days compared to a normal year. The regions most at risk include countries in the Global South, such as India, Nigeria, Indonesia, and Brazil. The report underscores the urgent need for preparedness to mitigate the severe consequences of this climate event.

Impact & Risks

The report identifies significant risks to human health, particularly in countries like India, where extreme heat could lead to a rise in heat-related illnesses and fatalities. Vulnerable populations, including the elderly, children, and those with pre-existing health conditions, are at the highest risk. The study estimates that India, along with other nations in the Global South, will face severe heat stress, potentially overwhelming healthcare systems. The projected increase in extreme heat days could also exacerbate other climate-related disasters, such as droughts and wildfires, further endangering lives and livelihoods.

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